Montrose Interagency Dispatch Area
Montrose - High Elevation
Saturday, July 04
Today's Conditions
99% ERC % ▲ threshold > 90%
96% BI % ▲ threshold > 90%
8 Winds threshold > 15
NNE Wind Dir
0.00 24hr Rain
77 Max Temp threshold > 86
9 Min Rh ▲ threshold < 25
11 1000hr Fuels ▲ threshold < 12
30 Max Rh ▲ threshold < 55
Local Thresholds
ERC > 90%, BI > 90%, Wind Speed > 15 Max Temp > 86, Min Rh < 25, 1000hr Fuels < 12, Max RH < 55 If three or more of the seven thresholds are met, consider it a watchout.
High Elevation FDRA Extended Forecast
| Indicator | 4-Jul | 5-Jul | 6-Jul | 7-Jul | 8-Jul | 9-Jul | 10-Jul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjective Fire Danger | Extreme | Extreme | Extreme | Extreme | Extreme | Extreme | Extreme |
| ERC-Y Percentile | 99% | 99% | 99% | 99% | 99% | 99% | 100% |
| BI-Y Percentile | 96% | 92% | 93% | 94% | 97% | 97% | 99% |
| Temperature | 77 | 78 | 78 | 75 | 76 | 77 | 79 |
| Relative Humidity | 9 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 13 |
| Winds | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| Wind Direction | NNE | NE | NE | NE | NNE | NNE | NNE |
| Precipitation 24hr rain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1000hr Fuels | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Max Rh | 30 | 48 | 49 | 59 | 62 | 54 | 49 |
| ERC-Y (Actual Number 1-66) | 55.3 | 55 | 55 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 56 |
| BI-Y (Actual Number 1-52) | 36 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 38 | 38 | 40 |
Fires to Remember
| Fire | Date | ERC | BI | Temp | Rh | Winds | 1000-Hr | Fire Danger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low Line | 7/26/2023 | 91% | 88% | 82 | 15 | 7 | 12 | Very High |
The High Elevation Fire Danger Rating Area uses the following Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS) which are equally weighted in value, using Fuel Model Y (Timber) incorporating data years 2005-2024 are: Huntsman (52813), Lujan (54702), Needle Creek (54704), Taylor Park (52812)
If you are interested in having this data emailed to you daily as a PDF, please email: 38north.llc@gmail.com